Radar Loto · Mega Millions

Mega Millions odds: your real chances of winning each prize tier

Discover the exact odds for every Mega Millions prize category. Understand the mathematics behind America's second-largest lottery and how your chances compare to Powerball and EuroMillions.

What Are the Odds of Winning Mega Millions?

Mega Millions is drawn every Tuesday and Friday in 45 US states plus Washington DC and the US Virgin Islands. Players pick 5 white balls from 1 to 70 and 1 Mega Ball from 1 to 25. The total possible combinations are 302,575,350 — the largest field of any major US lottery.

Prize LevelMatchOdds (1 in...)Prize
Jackpot5 + Mega Ball302,575,350Jackpot (min $20M)
2nd Prize5 (no Mega Ball)12,607,306$1,000,000
3rd Prize4 + Mega Ball931,001$10,000
4th Prize4 (no Mega Ball)38,792$500
5th Prize3 + Mega Ball14,547$200
6th Prize3 (no Mega Ball)606$10
7th Prize2 + Mega Ball693$10
8th Prize1 + Mega Ball89$4
9th PrizeMega Ball only37$2

The overall odds of winning any Mega Millions prize are approximately 1 in 24.

How Mega Millions Odds Are Calculated

Total combinations = C(70,5) Ă— C(25,1)

C(70,5) = 12,103,014 (ways to choose 5 from 70)
C(25,1) = 25 (ways to choose the Mega Ball)
Total: 12,103,014 Ă— 25 = 302,575,350

Megaplier Option

Like Powerball's Power Play, Mega Millions offers a Megaplier add-on that multiplies non-jackpot prizes by 2x, 3x, 4x, or 5x for an additional $1 per play. The Megaplier number is randomly drawn before each Mega Millions drawing.

Just the Jackpot

In some states, Mega Millions offers a special "Just the Jackpot" option that gives players two tickets for $3 but only qualifies for the jackpot prize. This option effectively trades secondary prize eligibility for slightly better jackpot value.

Record Jackpots

The largest Mega Millions jackpot ever was $1.602 billion, won in August 2023. Other record jackpots include $1.537 billion (October 2018) and $1.35 billion (January 2023). These enormous jackpots are possible because the pot rolls over each time no one wins, accumulating over multiple drawings.

Mega Millions Historical Context

Mega Millions began in 1996 under the name "The Big Game," operating in just six states. Over the decades it has expanded significantly, and in 2012 it crossed over with Powerball to allow sales in virtually every US state.

The odds have been adjusted several times to create larger jackpots. In October 2017, the matrix changed from 5/75 + 1/15 to the current 5/70 + 1/25, which significantly increased the jackpot odds. While this made the jackpot harder to win, it also enabled the game to build much larger prize pools, driving record-breaking jackpots in the years that followed.

Frequently Asked Questions About Mega Millions Odds

Are Mega Millions odds better or worse than Powerball?

Mega Millions has slightly worse jackpot odds (1 in 302.6 million) compared to Powerball (1 in 292.2 million). However, for the lowest prize level, Mega Millions (1 in 37) is slightly easier to win than Powerball's minimum prize (1 in 38). Both games have very similar overall odds of winning any prize.

What is the minimum Mega Millions prize?

The minimum prize in Mega Millions is $2, won by matching only the Mega Ball with odds of 1 in 37. This is actually easier to win than Powerball's minimum $4 prize.

How does the Megaplier work?

For an extra $1, the Megaplier option multiplies any non-jackpot prize by the Megaplier number drawn (2x, 3x, 4x, or 5x). For example, a $10 prize becomes $50 with a 5x Megaplier. The second prize of $1,000,000 becomes $2,000,000 with Megaplier (it only doubles, not multiplies by the full number).

Can I improve my odds in Mega Millions by choosing certain numbers?

No. Every number combination has exactly the same probability of being drawn. Choosing "lucky numbers" or numbers based on historical frequency does not change your mathematical probability of winning.

Radar Loto · Informational website. We do not sell lottery tickets.
PB vs Mega MillionsAbout Us Contact Privacy Cookies Legal Notice
© 2025 Radar Loto